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America 2025

This was an inductive scenario project looking at US foreign policy futures, at the grand strategic level, out to the year 2025. The project was undertaken in conjunction with a number of partners across the world. The project started in July 2004, and formally ended in September 2007, although the material generated by the project will inform our publications for some time to come.

This project was based upon the premise that, in 2005, the USA was the only credible global power in the world and that, by the year 2025, it is highly unlikely that the USA will be the only credible global power in the world. If this premise is correct then two interesting questions emerge. First, who are the contenders to rival the USA as super-powers in the world by the year 2025? And second, what will be the likely process of transition between the current situation and the new arrangements in 2025? It is these questions that the project addressed.

Output:

The European Way Of War 2005-2020
Published in Creating Global Strategies For Humanity’s Future in July 2006, this chapter examines how the European Union might develop to 2020 and how it’s use of force might respond to that development. Click here for the chapter.

The Dragon And The Tiger Revisited
Published in FUTUREtakes Magazine in Summer 2007, this article examines the complex geopolitical relationships between China, India, and the US. Click here for the article.

The Second Cold War
Published in FUTUREtakes Magazine in Winter 2007, this article hypothesizes about a second confrontation between the US and Russia, and how Russia could exploit the strategic weaknesses of America. Click here for the article.

Accommodating The Flow Of  People
Published in FUTUREtakes Magazine in Summer 2008, this article considers the flow of people as a consequence of globalisation and questions how these flows are integrated with the host populations. Click here for the article.

The Second String
Published in FUTUREtakes Magazine in Summer 2011, this article examines how a second string of emerging nations may come to challenge the BRICs. Click here for the article.

From Red China To Green China
Published in FUTUREtakes Magazine in Autumn 2010, this article argues that if China is to achieve its industrial destiny, then it will have to become the first major green economy. Click here for the article.

A Future Worth Building
This was a scenario that originated in the America 2025 project that considered what the path to a 'good result' for the US in 2025 might look like. First published in 2007, the main focus was upon foreign policy, but progress in the global economy was not entirely ignored. In many ways, it provided a pathway into the future against which modern Presidencies can be compared. The first contact with reality for this scenario came when President Obama was elected in 2008. Our appraisal of the situation in 2008 can be found here. Click here for the scenario.

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